Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.492651 3.708306 3.937938 4.201966 4.498835 4.824329 5.211003
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.310676 3.616358 3.959170 4.376883 4.878946 5.472333 6.241742
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.046408 3.395148 3.801149 4.317933 4.972644 5.796462 6.951498
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.812999 3.185063 3.631393 4.220430 5.001276 6.040956 7.612209
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.633115 3.022868 3.502974 4.157765 5.063605 6.338679 8.422840
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.487969 2.891479 3.400500 4.116082 5.147032 6.680628 9.404182
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.406554 2.833934 3.387194 4.191688 5.406289 7.337823 11.159114
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.251540 2.669981 3.219225 4.032775 5.293828 7.379221 11.793785
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.178187 2.609026 3.185995 4.064202 5.480757 7.971659 13.880694
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.103560 2.541274 3.137653 4.067369 5.621947 8.518999 16.249690
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.002010 2.430928 3.021393 3.955373 5.552412 8.642118 17.590323
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.908021 2.326463 2.907419 3.837524 5.458234 8.697056 18.810672
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.866140 2.300718 2.917973 3.939294 5.815628 9.940333 26.486621
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.837891 2.292628 2.954487 4.090110 6.307349 11.796509 44.659366
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.762363 2.211858 2.874526 4.033893 6.375355 12.598143 63.717687
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.685891 2.125813 2.780820 3.944389 6.358877 13.170379 92.176536
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.622567 2.056118 2.708468 3.886484 6.404839 14.015737 169.711244
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.568309 1.997289 2.649671 3.847723 6.490170 15.109040 627.626792
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.538721 1.974041 2.646600 3.913410 6.846382 17.718402 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.472241 1.891487 2.541241 3.771327 6.647718 17.610714 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.441366 1.862307 2.522735 3.798423 6.903437 20.227574 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.408195 1.827975 2.493342 3.800587 7.095172 22.916791 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.359914 1.768122 2.417415 3.700592 6.974394 23.371037 NaN